Well, we should look at this empirically.
Lindsay reached what may well be rock bottom at a much younger age. She had some help from her awful parents.
She has a fairly successful movie career, but movie careers aren't as durable as musical stardom. You can't release a best of compilation of your movies and you can't get any seven figure contratcs if nobody wants to work with you. People had been scrambling to help Britney put out an album even though she was hardle even marginally functional. It's pop music. Being realy famous trumps talent in a lot of cases.
Lindsay has one thing going for her over Britney, she is not rigidly in denial all the time.
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